This year may be very different. In two years the Republicans lost three seats. If they stay on this pace, then they would lose another three seats, giving them only an 11-10 majority, but that doesn't mean it will happen. But what will?Well, I think we can all come to the conclusion that the third ward Council race will be the best. I actually mentioned earlier that I thought this race would be the interesting one, and I was right. Councilwoman Lynn Taborsak has decided not to run at-large, and run for the third ward. It is a move that is likely to have been made so that she could face Council President Joe Cavo. Whether or not her name is under him or not, she will be facing him. Democrats also probably feel that it is very likely for her to win, even if Cavo were to win as well, because it would gain them a seat.
As for the other wards, Democrats put up the same candidates as 2005 in the first ward. They will challenge incumbent Louise McMahon, who was elected in 2003, and Shay Nagarsheth, who served as a member at-large, lost to Lynn Taborsak in 2005, and then was chosen to fill Former Councilman Vinnie Nolan’s first ward seat who resigned. This one could get fairly close, as the Democrats did a pretty good job in 2005.
The second ward features newcomer Ken Gucker, who has become an 
active member of the Democratic Town Committee, and seems to be well liked in his area. The fourth and fifth wards have been Democratic strong holds forever, even when Republican swept in 2003. Minority Leader Tom Saadi, and the other ward Democrats should have a fairly easy ride to re-election.
active member of the Democratic Town Committee, and seems to be well liked in his area. The fourth and fifth wards have been Democratic strong holds forever, even when Republican swept in 2003. Minority Leader Tom Saadi, and the other ward Democrats should have a fairly easy ride to re-election.Republicans may put some attention on the sixth ward, trying to get Councilman Ben Chianese, and even Councilman Paul Rotello out of office. Some believe these two, especially Chianese have become a follower of Lynn Taborsak, who as we know, Republicans can’t stand. As for the seventh ward, I don’t see much of a race, maybe Christine Halfar could make it close for Democrats.
Now onto the at-large races. This may actually be where Republicans hold the advantage. They have well known incumbents, who have done well throughout the last couple of elections. However, Democrats have made it interesting by putting up former Council members, such as John Gogliettino and Warren Levy. Republicans have nominated Bob Arconti to run, which is very impressive since the name Arconti is affiliated with the Democrats. Very interesting.
As of now, one thing for certain is that the Council races will be very fun to watch. I think Republicans will be able to narrowly hold on, earning a 12-9 majority. But, it is still VERY early.
3 comments:
Thats pretty fair to say, I got the R's holding it 11-10. One thing is that they better find a new majority leader because Cavo is going to lose and Basso is going to be council president.
I have it flipped the Democrats way 11-10.
Lynn and Kelly will win the third ward, Gucker has made a name for himself in the second, and Ben and Paul should be able to hold on to their seats.
Again, this will come down to turnout and that should be in the Democrats advantage if they make their case to the public.
The real problem is that there is no sense of check and balance with the Common Council and if the people, who are dissatisfied with City Hall, come out to vote, you can kiss that Republican majority good-bye.
15-6 Republicans. Lynn goes down in flames? Kelly has lost twice, what part doesn't he get? Who would vote for a someone who wants sex offenders in our parks? She is not the same as her son and the voters no it. Gucker is a loser, Dems lose one maybe two in the sixth. R's win all at large. Yeah all five posters here and the Democratic Town Committee show up to vote they are still losers.
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